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October 12, 2007

Historical TV listings

We rarely watch live TV. Either we use a Tivo, or the much more recent, but also far inferior, V+ box. I have complained about the uselessness of the V+ box in the past.

This entry is nothing to do with these PVRs per se. The problem is the failure of those who compile TV listings to recognise that people increasingly do not watch TV live. There is an honourable exception to this rule: On the Box.

I am typing this while half-watching a TV programme, so I'm afraid this is going to be a rather feeble entry.

October 19, 2007

Gearing up pension investment

Pensions seem a great thing. The government encourages pension savings by allowing us to save out of our gross income and by exempting pension savings from income and capital gains taxes.

So far so good. However, pension saving bears a huge burden of regulatory compliance. There are high costs associated with employing armies of actuaries to administer and oversee pension savings, and there are heavy opportunity costs of restricting savings to those areas the government deems suitable for pension investment.

I don't think that anybody really knows every rule that governs pensions. There are, as Google puts it 'about 11,200 pages' on the HMRC website that mention the word 'pension' or 'pensions'. I understand that early drafts of the overview of the so-called pensions simplification that came into force in April last year ran to over 3000 small-type pages.

It is not permitted for pensions to invest in residential property, and it is not permitted for pension equity to benefit from significant gearing, and it is not permitted for pension savings in close companies (fewer than ten shareholders). As far as I am concerned, these are not minor restrictions.

It is, it seems possible to invest in overseas companies, and these companies can invest in anything they like, including residential property. They are also permitted to borrow. It has been suggested to me that if I can 'round up' ten investors who would be interested in investing alongside me in a company, for example in the IoM, we can gear up this company and invest our capital in some suitable investment. These investors could invest some of their pension savings, as I plan to, or invest any other savings.

My preference would be for one of the offshore development vehicles set up by Chinese companies to benefit from a reduced Chinese tax charge. These are typically registered in the BVI or similar tax-haven countries, but investing in any Chinese property exposure seems good to me.

If you are interested in joining such a syndicate, please get in touch. I am not offering total democracy, but I will certainly be happy to discuss exactly what the moneys are invested in. As you have probably guessed, I have been in discussion with a pensions specialist about this kind of structure.

I have also discovered that, in principle, the requirement to liquidate the pension investment and purchase an annuity can be deferred at least until age 85. This removes one of the other major reservations I have about increased pension savings.

November 2, 2007

Cancer survival rates

xml=/news/2007/08/21/ncancer121.xml">This article caught my attention. There has been outrage today that Rudi Guilliani has a ad which implies that prostate cancer survival rates are dramatically lower in the UK under its system of (expensive) socialized medicine than in the US.

The outrage seems to be that money is needed for medical care in the US. It is as if it is perfectly OK for more people to die from preventable illness in the UK because at least we don't require patients to have money.

The US system is a deeply flawed one, to be sure, but to defend the British system because it is morally superior even though it has worse health outcomes seems deeply perverse. But as Nigel Lawson once said, the NHS is the closest thing Britain has to a national religion.

November 6, 2007

The Labour Party's Secret War Against the Poor

I urge you to read this article and to give thanks to God for not being at the mercy of People who run Housing Benefit Departments.

In my day-job as a letting agent have a very limited contact with Housing Benefit Offices. My experience is not as negative as that of Intrepid Carpet, but I can well imagine what it is like for him. Generally Herts Lettings will not let to any tenants on Housing Benefit, not because we think that they will be bad tenants, but because we don't want to have to deal with Housing Benefit. Random amounts of rent are paid in an irregular stream, generally at intervals of one week or four weeks. Strange gaps appear around the end of the fiscal year. Generally the benefit is not sufficient to cover the rent and the tenant has to pay a supplement, usually via a monthly standing order, to compensate. Without a very good accounting system it is virtually impossible to keep track of arrears.

The bigger problem is that there really is no mechanism through which claimants are ever going to receive anything other than the most unsatisfactory treatment from the authorities. There is no economic incentive for councils to employ staff who are remotely efficient and so benefit offices, I am sure, will attract the most useless sorts. Failing to reply to written communication is no unheard of in business, but it is inconceivable that anyone ever loses his job in the state sector for this kind of failure.

Part of the problem is that benefits are impossibly complicated. There are hundreds of benefits that may be claimed and neither claimants nor staff are likely to be able to understand them. Nobody loses except the taxpayer, but since they are such a diffuse group they can never overcome the power of the vested interest.

Intrepid Carpet thinks that things might be a bit better under the Conservatives. I think this is unlikely although it is conceivable that some simplification might be attempted.

November 25, 2007

Sort Codes and Account Numbers

There is near panic over the loss of 25 million sets of personal details - NI numbers and bank details, as well as addresses. I really don't understand how this is a big problem. When I sign up a new tenant (a credit operation, for sure) then I always get sight of some photo ID - usually a passport. It simply would not be possible to rent a property from Herts Lettings as someone else just by having the data that was possibly stolen from the NAO.

I have bought things on eBay and been stunned that people will still insist on being paid by cheque rather than by BACS on the grounds that they are unwilling to reveal their sort code and account number, even though they do so every time they write a cheque (and require me to by virtue of asking to be paid by cheque).

Banks vary a great deal in their interpretation of money laundering regulations. I find that a fax to Cater Allen with a SWIFT Code and an account number is more than enough to get money to (for example) China, but if I try to make an international funds transfer using Intelligent Finance I have to provide name and address details not only of the beneficiary but also of the beneficiary's bank. This can be very tiresome over the phone and has resulted in my giving up on IF as a way of sending money abroad.

I have just signed up with OzForex. This was fairly tedious 'compliance-wise', but now promises to get me much more competitive exchange rates than any high street bank is ever going to give me, and, I hope, be rather quicker at transferring money to overseas beneficiaries. Frankly if the rates were the same I'd still choose to go with OzForex as it allow beneficiary details to be entered online, rather than via phone or fax. I am slightly amazed that Cater Allen doesn't require international TTs to be requested via a letter written on vellum and delivered by a courier riding on horseback, such is their aversion to all things modern.

February 1, 2008

Sometimes a picture is worth a thousand words

March 9, 2008

Sometimes words are not enough

October 24, 2008

Plutocracy

This article explains how it came to pass that we know what Rupert and Elizabeth Murdoch, Oleg Deripaska, George Osborne, Peter Mandelson, David Cameron and Nat Rothschild were doing on and in the sea around Corfu during the summer.

It's interesting that the press gave the impression of David Cameron enjoying a rain-drenched and wind-blown holiday in Cornwall for his summer break, but more importantly it shows whose company our leading politicians choose to keep. It could hardly be otherwise. The population now takes very little interest in politics. They accept what they are told in The Sun and The Times, and what the various press offices of the main parties choose to communicate to the press. This all requires them to be on good terms with the media and with people who can give them money. No longer is it sufficient to get your wife to drive you around the village halls of England to get your message across. You must now, at the very least, set up WebCameron.

It's quite clear why politicians behave like this. People imagined that Tony Blair was some kind of aberration for being so obsessed with raising money for his party and himself, but really he, like the rest, is a creature of his environment. The unhappy thing is that it will inevitably lead to what we see in the USA: that is the systematic skewing of policies in favour of the selectorate - the people who actually choose the leaders. This selectorate is not exclusively wealthy businessmen. Certainly the unions remain powerful in the USA and in the UK. We will never see any kind of voucher system or realistic choice of schools because the teaching unions are opposed to it and they give a lot of money to the Democrats and to the Labour Party in their respective countries.

I am not a socialist, but do look for a level playing field in society. There will always be a conflict of interest between the haves and have nots (or maybe it is now the 'haves and have yachts'). Generally, a liberal economic agenda will result in a better outcome for everyone in society, but if the wealthy are seen to hijack decision making and tilt the playing field to their short-term advantage we will forever be bound into an economically inefficient organised society. It doesn't seem to me that there is a natural 'thermodynamic equilibrium' to which societies tend. If we allow the likes of Deripaska to exert the political influence they seek we will end in the UK like most of the pseudo-democracies of South East Asia or Latin America or, indeed, Deripaska's own Russia. I am not entirely sure that America, where democracy is more worshipped than practised is safe from going down this route.

November 6, 2008

The Audacity of Hope and the Road to Hell

The papers are full of enthusiasm for Barak Obama. The young voted for him overwhelmingly, seeing in him a route to a better life for themselves and their fellow countrymen.

I am rather less enthusiastic. I have almost lost hope in governments making our lives any better, certainly in comparison to the cost of them in terms of taxes paid. To my mind, governments always always stand in the way of progress. I have recently found things I wanted to do blocked by governments. I am very cross about the need for me to have an audit for one of my companies at a cost of about twenty times the cost of the bookkeeping that is to be audited. I feel frustrated that I am not allowed to see my pension fund's bank account balance except through a very occasional paper statement. I am frustrated that the law requires me to make a mark with a pen on a hard copy version of my accounts when all the accounting that went into producing them exists in digital form. My heart sinks when my accountant gives me the soft copy of my accounts as a scan of the signed printout.

My bank still requires me to communicate to them 'in writing', which means that I have to print out and entrust to a very unreliable postal service the most important instructions I will ever send them. Because I no longer own a fax machine my bank told me that the only way I can arrange CHAPS or SWIFT payments is to send them a letter. In order to re-establish my company's ownership of a domain name I am required to fax a request to Nominet on 'the companies letterhead', even though the company has never never had any requirement to communicate by headed letter throughout the twenty-two years of its existence.

I am advised by a Barclays call centre operative that for my protection my 12-digit customer number for use in telephone banking has to be different to my similarly-12-digit customer number for internet banking. When I state that I can see no situation where my security could be improved by having different customer numbers for the two means of accessing a common account (identified by a six-digit sort code plus an eight-digit account number, both unrelated to my two 12-digit identification numbers) my comment is met with incredulity.

Security is one of those goods that is priceless, a human right that must be provided regardless of cost. This way leads to the war in Iraq, the 'war on terror', the absurd expense of the department of homeland security, the incredible difficulty these days of doing ordinary transactions, and, spectacularly the use of the Anti-terrorism, Crime and Security Act 2001 to seize the assets of Landsbanki in the UK, which seems to have passed without serious comment from the press or the public.

This article, based on the Analysis programme to be broadcast tonight on R4 shows how in modern political debate no problem must be acknowledged to be difficult or impossible to solve. In fact politicians require every possible political problem to be solvable by a policy capable of being expressed in a soundbite of a handful of easy-to-parrot syllables. And Hazel Blears wonders why bloggers' responses are cynical.

November 11, 2008

2008 Financial Crisis

The Wikipedia article on the crisis grows by the day. The FT is constantly filled with news about the latest manifestation of the collapse in demand.

What worries me is that at times of crisis we look to strong men to lead us out of the mess. Arnold Kling in his recent podcast on Econtalk made the point that actually there is no economic theory to guide the likes of Hank Paulson, Ben Bernanke, Mervyn King, Gordon Brown et al. and that they really are making it up as they go along. Although it seems reasonable to preserve the financial system to allow the essential function of allocating capital and facilitating funds transfer and avoid the heavy costs of unwinding complex derivatives contracts entered into by failed investment banks, it is not clear that a transfer of huge sums from future taxpayers to the owners (and increasingly) to the managers of the banks is such a smart move in the long run.

The accepted wisdom in the 60's when we were faced with inflation was strong action. Similarly the problems of de-industrialisation in the UK at least, in the 70's, were addressed by industrial policy. The Great Depression lead to the setting up of a lot of institutions, including agricultural subsidies, Fannie Mae and Fanny Mac, and a mass of government intervention into private and public life that has never been reversed.

Looking at the home front, I am incandescent with rage that the utterly useless UK banks, which have treated their customers with undisguised contempt, and pursued a policy of ruthlessly reducing the pay (and therefore the quality) of their staff for years. I am indebted to Prof Robert Shaw for explaining how this works in his letter to the FT today.

It seems to me that what we need is not more regulation of banks, or indeed more subsidies, but more competition. The key to that is reducing the huge barriers to entry that still exist in running a bank in the UK.

November 21, 2008

Youtube Democracy

Downing Street are taking the unusually brave step of actually engaging with the public, albeit only through YouTube. The idea of "Ask The PM" is this: think of a question you would like Gordon Brown to answer, then post it on YouTube and the most popular entries will be answered by the Prime Minister himself. The above short clip is designed to force GB to justify his policy.

Note that I am not necessarily opposed to a wealth transfer from my generation to later ones.

December 6, 2008

If it can happen to Damian Green, what hope for the rest of us?

This post on the TPA website is one of the many about the raid on Damian Green's office. It makes the point that a huge amount of legislation has been passed which makes this kind of thing more likely, but it is only now that MPs seem to be remotely concerned about this kind of thing.

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