1. Another ATH for equities

    Published: Fri 11 June 2021
    Updated: Tue 22 November 2022
    By steve

    In Markets.

    Wrap

    Generally, a risk-on day. Crude up, equities up, bonds up, long-duration stocks outperform value. No obvious driver. Lots of coverage of a new motor in the Tesla Model S, which would take it to 200 mph, if only it had tyres and brakes and cooling that were of the …

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  2. The devil is in the details of tax policy

    Published: Wed 09 June 2021
    Updated: Tue 22 November 2022
    By steve

    In Markets.

    G7 Minimum Corp. Tax Rate

    Exactly how the system of global taxation is explored by Tax Watch UK, here. The proposal suggests taxing only “super profits,” i.e. those arising in excess of a 10% margin. The net result is that the new proposal barely changes the amount of corporation …

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  3. Hourly earnings jump

    Published: Fri 04 June 2021
    Updated: Tue 22 November 2022
    By steve

    In Markets.

    Wrap

    The deflationary trend continues: bonds were up, the 10Y stands at 1.56%. The NDX was up 1.5%, other markets less, but consistent with a deflationary trend. New jobs created were fewer than expected, but unemployment decreased more. Hourly wages increased 0.5% MoM, more than the 0 …

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  4. Minimum tax rate is 15% … whatever that means

    Published: Thu 03 June 2021
    Updated: Tue 22 November 2022
    By steve

    In Markets.

    Wrap

    Jobs numbers from ADP indicated a strengthening recovery, which (perversely) drove stocks and bonds down, as it suggested inflation, and Fed tapering (I guess). The dollar was up, and commodities down (almost as a reflex reaction). Tesla had some very bad sales numbers coming out of China, but ‘only …

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  5. Another quiet day (for those who avoid AMC)

    Published: Wed 02 June 2021
    Updated: Tue 22 November 2022
    By steve

    In Markets.

    Wrap

    Markets were pretty dead: SPX, 10Y yield, DXY, even gold were pretty flat. Oil was up 1.5%, as were some energy stocks. The only excitement was $AMC going up 95%, through manipulation by the Reddit WSB crowd. European stocks were up.

    There was not much news: everyone is …

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  6. Reflation trade starts to move, possibly

    Published: Tue 01 June 2021
    Updated: Tue 22 November 2022
    By steve

    In Markets.

    Overview

    The fifth month of the year has started, and evidence of life in markets seems to be flowing back. Most commodities were up, especially ones that respond to inflation. Copper and gold benefited, as did oil. Even natural gas joined in with the party (up 3.6%). Unsurprisingly, the …

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