1. Give Directly

    Published: Thu 09 December 2021
    Updated: Tue 22 November 2022
    By steve

    In Markets.

    Thursday 9, December 2021

    Charity giving

    A recent Econtalk podcast was with a founder of Give Directly. The idea of this is beautifully simple: money you give to the charity ends up directly in the hands of a very poor person. There are no NGOs involved. No goverment officials are …

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  2. Evergrand, $AAPL etc.

    Published: Wed 08 December 2021
    Updated: Sun 01 January 2023
    By steve

    In Markets.

    Wednesday 8, December 2021

    Evergrande

    It seems to me that the PBoC is pulling out all the stops to avert a crisis of confidence as Evergrande continues to sink. This should result in the RMB/CNH falling, just as all prices will rise with an increase in the money supply …

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  3. Trust the Borg!

    Published: Tue 07 December 2021
    Updated: Tue 22 November 2022
    By steve

    In Markets.

    Tuesday 7, December 2021

    Borg Warner

    Borg Warner used to have a plant in Caerphilly, S. Wales, close to where I grew up. I think the company probably advertised a bit around the area, and I think that one of my early schoolfriends had a father who worked there. It …

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  4. Markets bounce back

    Published: Mon 06 December 2021
    Updated: Sun 01 January 2023
    By steve

    In Markets.

    Monday 6, December 2021

    Wrap

    Markets retraced today. Risk assets bounced, bonds sagged (a little bit). Crypto stopped falling. No obvious course. Pundits claim it’s the ‘realization’ that Omicron is not very virulent, but we knew that as soon as it was announced. I guess it’s the bull …

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  5. If a market doesn’t act right, don’t touch it.

    Published: Sun 05 December 2021
    Updated: Tue 22 November 2022
    By steve

    In Markets.

    Sunday 5, December 2021

    Mr Hostetter’s Rules for Trading

    If you search for “A successful speculator’s approach to commodities trading” by Morris Markovitz, you’ll probably find a pdf of a scan of this book. The whole book is worth reading, but I thought I’d transcribe the …

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  6. Correlation is not causation

    Published: Sat 04 December 2021
    Updated: Tue 22 November 2022
    By steve

    In Markets.

    Saturday 4, December 2021

    Krugman vs Friedman

    Milton Friedman was a formidable economist, and person. I have admired him for most of my adult life. But when it comes to the Fed causing the Great Recession, I think Friedman was wrong. The idea was that the Fed allowed the money …

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  7. Finding a catalyst

    Published: Fri 03 December 2021
    Updated: Tue 22 November 2022
    By steve

    In Markets.

    Friday 3, December 2021

    Docusign ($DOCU:NSQ)

    Docusign “puked” today. It was down 32% pre-market. Dr Patel joked about it:

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  8. Sun-lit uplands for Suncor?

    Published: Tue 30 November 2021
    Updated: Tue 22 November 2022
    By steve

    In Markets.

    30 Nov 2021

    Suncor ($SU:NYQ)

    This SA piece confirms my view on Suncor. It is profitable, with a foreward P/E of 11.3, it pays a healthy dividend (5.5%), which is well covered and has had recent strong growth. It claims a breakeven price of $35/barrel …

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  9. Bubbles are hard to spot

    Published: Mon 29 November 2021
    Updated: Tue 22 November 2022
    By steve

    In Markets.

    29 Nov

    Spotting bubbles

    This post recaps the guru investors who got it wrong in the mid nineties. Basically, they were warning about bubble valuations five years before the Dot Com crash. Being early is the same as being wrong. In the long run we are all right.

    The issue …

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  10. Oramed Pharma ($ORMD) — great medical innovation, or just great stock promotion?

    Published: Sun 28 November 2021
    Updated: Tue 22 November 2022
    By steve

    In Markets.

    28 Nov

    The Parallax View published a 9,933-word report on Oramed Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ: ORMP on), an oral drug delivery systems company focused on treating diabetes. Parallax highlighted excessive insider compensation including $3.2 million to the company CEO, Nadav Kidron, and his mother, who serves as Chief Scientific Officer …

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