1. Men of words, men of action

    Published: Tue 31 January 2023
    Updated: Tue 31 January 2023
    By steve

    In Markets.

    2023-01-31

    I’ve just finished reading The True Believer by Eric Hoffer (pub. 1951). You can read an excellent summary here. To be honest, the summary is more understandable than the original book, although maybe if I’d read them in a different order I wouldn’t be saying that …

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  2. If it isn’t hurting, it isn’t working

    Published: Fri 27 January 2023
    Updated: Sat 28 January 2023
    By steve

    In Markets.

    2023-01-27

    Unemployment and inflation

    I wanted to write about the Phillips Curve, and put together this chart to illustrate it. The post will have to wait, but I’ll leave the chart. It might not display properly: I don’t normally embed scripts into posts.

    Weekly wrap

    USD up against …

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  3. Grr, Artificial Intelligence let me down again

    Published: Thu 26 January 2023
    Updated: Tue 31 January 2023
    By steve

    In Markets.

    2023-01-26

    Automation is coming for your (professional) job next

    I grew up in the 1970s. The zeitgeist then was the battle between skilled manual labour and capital. The miners, the steelworkers, the power workers, the railway workers, the guys who worked in car factories were all in a life-or-death struggle …

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  4. Commodities Update

    Published: Tue 24 January 2023
    Updated: Wed 25 January 2023
    By steve

    In Markets.

    2023-01-24

    Commodities

    I’m late with ‘a year in review’ post, but I think it’s worth looking back a year from now, to see what’s happening in commodities markets.

    The winners

    Coal

    The dirtiest, most carbon intense source of energy has had a stonking year! US coal is …

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  5. The problem with charidee

    Published: Mon 23 January 2023
    Updated: Tue 24 January 2023
    By steve

    In Markets.

    2023-01-23

    Milton Friedman used to say “No good was ever done by spending other people’s money.” Most people don’t agree with him, at least when it comes to charity giving: we hand over our money to Oxfam or Amnesty International hoping that they’ll spend it wisely.

    The …

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  6. China is opening up

    Published: Sun 22 January 2023
    Updated: Tue 24 January 2023
    By steve

    In Markets.

    China is back, baby

    China has been hurt by Covid. The response of the national government has been a catastrophe, and the capabilities of the healthcare sector in China have been shown to be extremely feeble, both the capability of developing vaccines, and the ability of the country to deliver …

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  7. Pessimism is pathological?

    Published: Sat 21 January 2023
    Updated: Tue 24 January 2023
    By steve

    In Markets.

    Optimism is us

    Eric Blair (better known as George Orwell) said “Any life, when viewed from the inside, is simply a series of defeats.” An old friend of mine, somewhat given to pessimism, always used to argue that only people who were clinically depressed had a realistic view of the …

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  8. Keith Starmer Speaks

    Published: Fri 20 January 2023
    Updated: Fri 20 January 2023
    By steve

    In Markets.

    2023-01-20

    Starmer

    While I was producing a meal this evening, I caught half the interview of Emily Maitlis and John Sopel with Keir Starmer. I try to avoid listening to what politicians have to say. They occasionally have ghost-written pieces in the paper, but these are mostly excruciating. Active politicians …

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  9. Double inversion

    Published: Thu 19 January 2023
    Updated: Fri 20 January 2023
    By steve

    In Markets.

    2023-01-19

    Worth reading

    Matt Levine is always worth reading. Signing up to his newsletter is about the highest return investment you can make in the world of finance (the fact that it’s free helps with the ROI). He manages to make complicated ideas in finance funny and easy to …

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