1. Is this really going to continue indefinitely, and is it truly deflationary?

    Wolfstreet and Druck

    Today, I read this article, from Wolf Richer’s blog. I think that Druck had previously said how grateful we should be for all these high-tech companies providing valuable services to us below cost (or, maybe in the case of Amazon, barely above cost). Well, yes, these …

    read more

    There are comments.

  2. But who will pay all these wages?

    Published: Mon 18 May 2020
    Updated: Tue 22 November 2022
    By steve

    In misc.

    Who will pay?

    We seem to be returning to the 30s. But this time populist governments are desperate to keep voters on board. So they have no option but to cushion unemployment. The big debate of the 30s was whether this would put off the evil day when the economy …

    read more

    There are comments.

  3. Immoveable objects

    Published: Fri 15 May 2020
    Updated: Sun 01 January 2023
    By steve

    In markets.

    Bull and Bear, Immovable Object meets Irresistible Force. Which will win out?

    Charlie Bilello is one of the many great commentators who collate data and give analysis to us for free. He has collected together some recent data which shows just how enormous the C-19 disruption has been over the …

    read more

    There are comments.

  4. Now we have two problems

    Some people when confronted with a problem think “I know, I’ll use options.” Now they have two problems.

    (The above title is adapted from the Regular Expressions sub on reddit.)

    Well, we have some incredible numbers for unemployment. Any regression model trying to fit this charg is going to …

    read more

    There are comments.

  5. Bonds may be leading us up the garden path

    Published: Wed 13 May 2020
    Updated: Sun 01 January 2023
    By steve

    In markets.

    Markets are hard to read

    Today’s FT (C&F): Peter Oppenheimer of Goldman Sachs says that event-driven bear markets are soon over, so don’t worry, chaps, everything will be fine from now on, especially for Big Tech. However, maybe governments will have no option but to start taxing …

    read more

    There are comments.

  6. How I set up this site

    Published: Mon 11 May 2020
    Updated: Sun 01 January 2023
    By steve

    In Markets.

    This is a note for me, to remember how to create a new entry.

    I had to fiddle a bit with Pelican to make it work OK on Windows and to allow me to use a custom domain on github. You can see the full gory details at https://github …

    read more

    There are comments.

  7. What is the correct relationship between science, scientists, policy and politicians?

    Published: Sun 10 May 2020
    Updated: Tue 22 November 2022
    By steve

    In misc.

    Why don’t scientists go into politics?

    Given that almost no active national-level polician has any meaningful training in science (even at an undergraduate level, but certaintly not as a research scientist), it’s remarkable how so much of policy is claimed to be ‘science based’.

    Scientists are trained to …

    read more

    There are comments.

links

social