1. If CEO ‘personal’ emails were a bit more … honest

    Published: Sat 27 March 2021
    Updated: Tue 22 November 2022
    By steve

    In Markets.

    Babylon Bee

    This is a satire site, in the spirit of The Onion or Private Eye (minus the serious stuff). I signed up for their email list. This was the welcome letter that was auto generated by their mailing list system:

    Seth here, CEO of The Babylon Bee. I want …

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  2. Trading stocks like a monkey on crack

    Published: Fri 26 March 2021
    Updated: Tue 22 November 2022
    By steve

    In Markets.

    Tweets

    Wrap

    Full blown risk on day. Everything up, except the VIX. Oh, and except some dodgy Chinese frauds, such as $GSX. Oh …

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  3. Another flat day in the markets

    Published: Thu 25 March 2021
    Updated: Tue 22 November 2022
    By steve

    In Markets.

    Note

    I am not spending much time on this blog this week and next. I have personal stuff to deal with.

    Wrap

    The markets seem to be directionless. Gold is up a bit, Comex futures near month now over 1900. Bonds are up: 10Y yield down to 1.581%. Oil …

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  4. Capitalism and its unintended corollaries

    Published: Thu 25 March 2021
    Updated: Tue 22 November 2022
    By steve

    In Markets.

    Capitalism without Capital

    This post explains that companies do not function in the way they used to. They no longer transform savings into productive physical capital. They, in aggregate, are destroyers of physical capital. This trend has been observed for a long time, and conventional accounting measures sometimes fail to …

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  5. Banks and Money and Regulation

    Published: Wed 24 March 2021
    Updated: Tue 22 November 2022
    By steve

    In Markets.

    Wrap

    Risk off, deflationary (except energy).

    • Treasuries up,
    • Crude up (>5%), practically all non-energy commodities down,
    • equities down, NDX more than SPX,
    • international equities fairly flat except the Turkish market, which was up strongly (even in USD terms),
    • most currencies pretty flat, except NZD, which dropped 1.9% on measures …
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  6. Greenwashing and Greensill Capital

    Published: Tue 23 March 2021
    Updated: Tue 22 November 2022
    By steve

    In Markets.

    Crumbs

    FT Companies section was good today:

    • low vol factor was original inspiration for index fund, but has underperformed almost ever since,
    • Greensill really looks like a tar pit for Cameron. How can the guy argue he has good judgement?
    • Wall Street changes its tune on BTC now it’s …
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  7. Drumbeat of inflation warnings get louder

    Published: Mon 22 March 2021
    Updated: Tue 22 November 2022
    By steve

    In Markets.

    Chart: 5Y Breakeven rate

    The market (various measures) seems convinced that inflation is going up. I’d spend all day writing this if I linked to everything I see that says this. But still, in bond prices, the evidence is far from overwhelming

    Crumbs

    The rise of ETFs (which are …

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  8. US Treasury is spending big

    Published: Sat 20 March 2021
    Updated: Tue 22 November 2022
    By steve

    In Markets.

    Governments spend and receive money. This generally involves the banking system. Governments can have bank accounts at any bank they choose to. Very often they choose to use one, which may be privately owned, or nationalized. Surprisingly often, they are not publically owned. It was not until the late 1940s …

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  9. Oil headed higher in long run?

    Published: Fri 19 March 2021
    Updated: Tue 22 November 2022
    By steve

    In Markets.

    Crumbs

    Oil forecast

    34dd9261586a1887747c4622ab75e572.png

    Currently, oil is trending down.

    Commodities fading

    92e2b64a181cab4f1d6dfa51047983af.png

    Strong move down in commodities. Is this the consensus trade fading?

    Crazy Cathie lives up to her name

    Just listen to her, if you can bear to. Pick up the remarks at around 11m30s. Insane: she breezily dismisses the risk …

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  10. The general semantics of cryptocurrencies

    Published: Thu 18 March 2021
    Updated: Tue 22 November 2022
    By steve

    In Markets.

    Crumbs

    Marxist political theory update

    After my comments a few days ago about Marxist theory of political power, I thought I’d better educate myself. This article explains the theory quite well, I think. Marx and Weber/Pareto seem to differ. Marx thought that political leaders automatically followed the (maybe …

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