Weekend Update

Origins of life

The Ethical Skeptic is a former intelligence officer who has a wide range of interests and a rigorous approach to understanding the world. I came across him on Twitter through his analysis of pandemic statistics. He is a remarkable erudite individual. I discovered his long-form …

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Today as it happens

Digital shovels

Elmer Spud, probably not his real name, is worth following. He’s written this interesting piece arguing that although crypto is a digital Ponzi scheme, it might be worth investing in the exchange on which the worthless tokens are traded. He’s cautious and …

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The day in question

Post-Brexit trade with the EU

It looks as though trade is flowing more freely. Full details.

Vaccines and globalism

Politicians have been making things worse by interfering with the normal mechanisms of global trade. The end result will almost certainly be more votes for them, but …

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This day, as it happens

E.On

I like this stock. It pays a heavy dividend (4.7%), it’s cheap as it was four years ago. It sells stuff that’s going to get more expensive (because of green energy), it’s in a region which is a world …

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The day

Bear baiting

The latest Bear Cave letter is out. https://thebearcave.substack.com/p/the-bear-cave-62

I strongly suggest you sign up.

I’ve extracted some of the tips.

NYSE:QS

Fantasy battery technology. Another Theranos, this time for batteries.

NASDAQ:NTGR

Netgear, home hi-fi hardware, eroding sales, tired …

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The day (Bicycle day) in review mirror

Markets update

The reflation trade made a showing today:

• bonds a tiny bit lower (US TY 10Y yield up a few bp),
• most commodities up (except gold),
• bitcoin (‘digital gold’) down 7% to $56K, but Dogecoin (designed to be worthless) hits new ATHs …

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Weekend wrap

Kuppy’s KEDM has been released.

• Spinoffs: EVR in London is spinning off its coal assets, TPK (private equity) is spinning off Wickes (the top for DIY suppliers?),
• Loeb has started to buy into $INTC. Intel used to be the IBM of semiconductors. Can it do a $MSFT …

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Crumbs

Quantumscape: escape now, while you can!

Read more on Reddit

From The Market Ear:

This latest melt up in SPX has created several “extreme” readings worth considering;

1, SPX is now some 15% above the 200 day moving average

2, RSI is printing +72 as of writing

3, The …

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Journal

Chamath would have made Bernie proud

I read today that Bernie Madoff, the operator of what was supposedly the biggest Ponzi scheme in history, has died in prison. I think the papers should have qualified that by recognizing that the they were restricting the comparison to those schemes that …

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Spring day

• On this day in 1968 students were rioting in Berlin
• Margin debt is exploding.
• Everyone wants a more activist state, but nobody wants public spending to spiral out of control. In other words, ‘people’ want incompatible things. Not a person, but society, made up of individuals with different …

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